Commercial RE rents and SMBs


NNN expenses are starting to impact industrial rent growth.

Why?

Because class B/C industrial tenants don’t care about base rent. They care about the total check they write every month for real estate costs.

(I've experienced this first hand on the tenant side)

For example... In Metro-Boston’s industrial market, base rents for Class B space average $12.50 per SF, but total occupancy costs often hit $18-$20 per SF.

Operating expenses can run $6-$8 per SF (usually $3-5), with property taxes making up 40-50% of that. A tenant leasing 30,000 SF with NNN at $6.50 per SF pays an extra $195,000 per year—before rent!

Here’s where it gets worse: If NNN expenses rise 20% over three years, that’s an extra $39,000 per year on a 30,000 SF lease. In a flat market, landlords can’t offset that with higher base rents—net effective rents decline as tenants push back of paying all the operating costs.

This crushes the P+L of many small businesses who rely on these spaces.

Currently, Industrial vacancy in Greater Boston roughly 4.3%, but when total costs exceed $20 per SF, many SMBs will not be able to afford it. I'm curious to see what happens and if that level can be consistently broken, or if it's a sticking point.

What's your move?

Push back on assessors. If your taxes are rising faster than market rents, fight the valuation (good luck).

Underwrite little to no rent growth. Build a margin of error to absorb rising costs without pissing off investors.

Operational excellence: A $1.00 per SF lower NNN makes a space 10%+ more competitive—without cutting rent.

In-house property management to save on fees. Look at solar batteries, outdoor storage or other creative options to drive income.

I'm bullish on investing in class B industrial but I believe the days of ramping up NNN costs and rents without push back are numbered.

PS: If you're interested in seeing my real estate deal flow join my real estate deal list -- I'm currently looking at 3 interesting opportunities (1 mixed use, 2 small industrial) in prime Eastern MA locations.

PPS: If you run a small business and you need a new website, upgrades, or web support please reach out to Nat at Clio Websites. I've used him on several projects (including 2 right now) and it's always a pleasure to work with him. This is an ad, but every word is true!

Hi, I'm Barrett

I've bootstrapped multiple seven-figure companies and am sharing hard-earned lessons and insights about entrepreneurship.

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